๐ Pinnacle is King
Pinnacle's devigged prob is the strongest single predictor. But multi-book consensus adds real alpha on top.
๐ Book-Specific Edges
DK & FD edge features rank #1-2 in importance. BetUS shows 65% win rate on 3%+ edges.
โ ๏ธ Big Edges = Traps
10%+ edges underperform at 49.1%. Sweet spot is 0-4% at 63%+ hit rate. Model TRAP flags catch this.
๐ฏ Moneyline > Spreads > Totals
ML edges hit ~70%. Spreads ~53%. Totals ~52%. Focus scanning on moneyline for highest conviction.